Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-0 HNK Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.07
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.81
6+ Goals
10%
16.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-7.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Gorica EU Bookmakers 22%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.41/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.46
-13% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
24.4 Crosses 15.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
2W-3D-1L
AWAY HNK Gorica
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.96 xG 1.04
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
362 Passes 268
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 HT 1-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
28.01.2024 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 1-2 HT 1-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
08.10.2023 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 HT 0-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
01.05.2023 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-2 HT 1-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
25.02.2023 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 1-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
22.10.2022 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-1 HT 1-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
2-0
AWAY HNK Gorica
0.98 xG 0.68
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 5
251 Passes 307
68% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiva Zagreb got the better of HNK Gorica 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lokomotiva Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Lokomotiva Zagreb had 46% of the ball to HNK Gorica's 54%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.98 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiva Zagreb had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lokomotiva Zagreb and 1.17 for HNK Gorica.

What was the final score of Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?

Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-0 HNK Gorica in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiva Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiva Zagreb 48%, draw 26%, HNK Gorica 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HIR More Croatia - 1. HNL
5 Oct 2024
19:30 Slaven Belupo vs Rijeka Analysis →