Slaven Belupo 0-0 Rijeka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.48
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
47%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.2
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.67
6+ Goals
9%
15.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.2 — our 31% vs market 25.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
16%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
20%
+6.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
47%
Away Win
56%
-9.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijeka EU Bookmakers 60%
+1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
0.91/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.82
-33% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
254 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 80%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
19.6 Crosses 18.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slaven Belupo
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Rijeka
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.90 xG 1.08
44% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
230 Passes 328
69% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
10.12.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 2-4 HT 0-1 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
24.09.2023 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
01.05.2023 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 1-3 HT 0-2 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
25.02.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 0-1 HT 0-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
23.10.2022 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2-1 HT 1-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slaven Belupo
0-0
AWAY Rijeka
0.41 xG 0.86
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
270 Passes 327
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Slaven Belupo vs Rijeka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slaven Belupo and Rijeka fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Rijeka at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Slaven Belupo had 47% of the ball to Rijeka's 53%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.41 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Slaven Belupo and 1.33 for Rijeka.

What was the final score of Slaven Belupo vs Rijeka?

Slaven Belupo 0-0 Rijeka in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slaven Belupo vs Rijeka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Slaven Belupo 26%, draw 27%, Rijeka 47%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rijeka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rijeka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HIR More Croatia - 1. HNL
5 Oct 2024
17:00 Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica Analysis →