Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 HNK Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.63
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.46
6+ Goals
11%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Gorica EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.45/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.26
+24% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
21.2 Crosses 14.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
2W-2D-2L
AWAY HNK Gorica
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.18 xG 1.36
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
348 Passes 286
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.01.2024 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 1-2 HT 1-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
08.10.2023 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 HT 0-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
01.05.2023 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-2 HT 1-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
25.02.2023 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 1-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
22.10.2022 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-1 HT 1-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
13.08.2022 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 3-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
1-1
AWAY HNK Gorica
0.62 xG 0.36
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
405 Passes 229
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 14
30 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiva Zagreb and HNK Gorica shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Lokomotiva Zagreb at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lokomotiva Zagreb had 61% of the ball to HNK Gorica's 39%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 0.62 to 0.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lokomotiva Zagreb and 1.50 for HNK Gorica.

What was the final score of Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?

Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 HNK Gorica in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiva Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiva Zagreb 47%, draw 28%, HNK Gorica 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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