HNK Gorica 0-3 Lokomotiva Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HNK Gorica EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +14%
0.99/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.04
+19% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +31%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
268 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
16.2 Crosses 19.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HNK Gorica
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.64 xG 0.98
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
278 Passes 319
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.03.2025 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 HT 1-1 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
21.12.2024 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 1-4 HT 1-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
05.10.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-0 HT 1-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
06.04.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 HT 1-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
28.01.2024 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 1-2 HT 1-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
08.10.2023 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 HT 0-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HNK Gorica
0-3
AWAY Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.17 xG 0.85
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
330 Passes 353
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH HNK Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiva Zagreb swept aside HNK Gorica 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Lokomotiva Zagreb found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, HNK Gorica had 48% of the ball to Lokomotiva Zagreb's 52%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.17 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiva Zagreb led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for HNK Gorica and 1.83 for Lokomotiva Zagreb.

What was the final score of HNK Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

HNK Gorica 0-3 Lokomotiva Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HNK Gorica vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiva Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split HNK Gorica 35%, draw 27%, Lokomotiva Zagreb 38%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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