Vitoria Guimaraes vs Benfica Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vitoria Guimaraes v Benfica — Team-Based Signals
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Benfica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 3-0
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
5-1
HT 3-0
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
0-0
HT 0-0
Benfica
POR
Vitoria Guimaraes 0-3 Benfica — Actual Match Statistics
Benfica swept aside Vitoria Guimaraes 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Benfica as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Vitoria Guimaraes had 34% of the ball to Benfica's 66%, shots finished 10-24, expected goals 0.33 to 2.13.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Vitoria Guimaraes and 2.50 for Benfica.
What was the final score of Vitoria Guimaraes vs Benfica?
Vitoria Guimaraes 0-3 Benfica in the Portugal - Premier League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vitoria Guimaraes vs Benfica?
Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Vitoria Guimaraes 18%, draw 22%, Benfica 60%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.