Vitoria Guimaraes vs Benfica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vitoria Guimaraes v Benfica — Team-Based Signals
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Benfica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 3-0
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
5-1
HT 3-0
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
0-0
HT 0-0
Benfica
POR
3-0
HT 2-0
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
3-3
HT 2-3
Benfica
PORLC
1-3
HT 0-2
Benfica
POR
Vitoria Guimaraes 2-2 Benfica — Actual Match Statistics
Vitoria Guimaraes and Benfica shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Benfica at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Vitoria Guimaraes had 38% of the ball to Benfica's 62%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 2.16 to 0.87.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vitoria Guimaraes and 3.00 for Benfica.
What was the final score of Vitoria Guimaraes vs Benfica?
Vitoria Guimaraes 2-2 Benfica in the Portugal - Premier League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vitoria Guimaraes vs Benfica?
Before kick-off our model rated an Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Vitoria Guimaraes 29%, draw 25%, Benfica 46%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.