Sporting CP 5-0 Sporting Braga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.77
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
28%
2.77
6+ Goals
14%
7.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.79
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
16.2
X/1
20%
3.8
X/2
6%
12.45
X/X
7%
6.51
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
20.4
2/2
10%
9.03
2/X
8%
16.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.4 — our 7% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-7.0pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.1pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga EU Bookmakers 20%
+2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
2.03/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.47
+5% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -42%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
23.3 Crosses 14.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sporting Braga
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.06 xG 0.78
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
428 Passes 311
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.01.2024 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP PORLC
03.09.2023 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 1-1 HT 0-1 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
02.02.2023 Sporting CP Sporting CP 5-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
19.12.2022 Sporting CP Sporting CP 5-0 HT 5-0 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga PORLC
07.08.2022 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 3-3 HT 2-2 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
22.01.2022 Sporting CP Sporting CP 1-2 HT 1-0 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP
5-0
AWAY Sporting Braga
2.36 xG 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 7
346 Passes 406
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
34 Box Touches 14
8 Crosses 15
POST-MATCH Sporting CP vs Sporting Braga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP swept aside Sporting Braga 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Sporting CP had 47% of the ball to Sporting Braga's 53%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 2.36 to 0.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Sporting CP and 1.17 for Sporting Braga.

What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Sporting Braga?

Sporting CP 5-0 Sporting Braga in the Portugal - Premier League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP vs Sporting Braga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP 56%, draw 23%, Sporting Braga 21%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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