Rio Ave vs Casa Pia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rio Ave v Casa Pia — Team-Based Signals
Rio Ave vs Casa Pia Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Rio Ave
POR
1-1
HT 0-1
Casa Pia
POR
1-0
HT 0-0
Rio Ave
POR
1-0
HT 1-0
Casa Pia
POR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Rio Ave
POR2
Rio Ave 1-0 Casa Pia — Actual Match Statistics
Rio Ave nicked a narrow win over Casa Pia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rio Ave as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.
On the day, Rio Ave had 67% of the ball to Casa Pia's 33%, shots finished 8-6, expected goals 0.54 to 0.18.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rio Ave had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Rio Ave and 0.60 for Casa Pia.
What was the final score of Rio Ave vs Casa Pia?
Rio Ave 1-0 Casa Pia in the Portugal - Premier League on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rio Ave vs Casa Pia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rio Ave win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave 42%, draw 30%, Casa Pia 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rio Ave), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.