Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Benfica v Vitoria Guimaraes — Team-Based Signals
Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 3-0
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
5-1
HT 3-0
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
0-0
HT 0-0
Benfica
POR
3-0
HT 2-0
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
3-3
HT 2-3
Benfica
PORLC
Benfica 1-0 Vitoria Guimaraes — Actual Match Statistics
Benfica edged past Vitoria Guimaraes 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Benfica as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.
On the day, Benfica had 55% of the ball to Vitoria Guimaraes's 45%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.78 to 0.49.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Benfica and 1.00 for Vitoria Guimaraes.
What was the final score of Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Benfica 1-0 Vitoria Guimaraes in the Portugal - Premier League on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Benfica vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Benfica 65%, draw 21%, Vitoria Guimaraes 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.