Gil Vicente vs Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gil Vicente v Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Gil Vicente vs Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Nacional
PORLC
2-0
HT 0-0
Nacional
POR
2-1
HT 0-1
Gil Vicente
POR
1-1
HT 1-0
Gil Vicente
POR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Nacional
POK
3-2
HT 1-0
Gil Vicente
POR
Gil Vicente 2-1 Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Gil Vicente squeezed past Nacional 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Gil Vicente made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Gil Vicente had 56% of the ball to Nacional's 44%, shots finished 17-19, expected goals 1.05 to 1.62 — the balance of chances actually favoured Nacional.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gil Vicente had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gil Vicente and 1.00 for Nacional.
What was the final score of Gil Vicente vs Nacional?
Gil Vicente 2-1 Nacional in the Portugal - Premier League on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gil Vicente vs Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gil Vicente win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente 39%, draw 29%, Nacional 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gil Vicente) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.