Santa Clara 1-0 Rio Ave — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.85
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
4.18
6+ Goals
12%
20.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.42
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
9%
17.2
X/1
15%
4.3
X/2
8%
11.3
X/X
13%
4.99
2/1
12%
31.0
2/2
9%
9.5
2/X
7%
18.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.1pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Ave EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
1.95/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.41
-14% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
17.0 Crosses 16.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Clara
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Rio Ave
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.20 xG 1.19
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
275 Passes 434
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2024 Rio Ave Rio Ave 1-2 HT 1-2 Santa Clara Santa Clara HAZ
17.03.2023 Santa Clara Santa Clara 0-2 HT 0-0 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
02.10.2022 Rio Ave Rio Ave 1-0 HT 1-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
23.07.2022 Rio Ave Rio Ave 0-2 HT 0-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara HAZ
22.09.2021 Rio Ave Rio Ave 2-2 HT 1-2 Santa Clara Santa Clara PORLC
11.05.2021 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-0 HT 0-0 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Clara
1-0
AWAY Rio Ave
0.96 xG 0.55
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
256 Passes 370
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 10
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Santa Clara vs Rio Ave
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara nicked a narrow win over Rio Ave 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Santa Clara as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Santa Clara had 43% of the ball to Rio Ave's 57%, shots finished 10-4, expected goals 0.96 to 0.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Clara had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Santa Clara and 1.00 for Rio Ave.

What was the final score of Santa Clara vs Rio Ave?

Santa Clara 1-0 Rio Ave in the Portugal - Premier League on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Clara vs Rio Ave?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara 50%, draw 29%, Rio Ave 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Clara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Santa Clara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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