Mbarara City vs NEC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mbarara City v NEC — Team-Based Signals
Mbarara City vs NEC Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
NEC
UGA
NEC edged past Mbarara City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had NEC as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, NEC led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Mbarara City and 1.33 for NEC.
What was the final score of Mbarara City vs NEC?
Mbarara City 0-1 NEC in the Uganda - Premier League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mbarara City vs NEC?
Before kick-off our model rated an NEC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Mbarara City 21%, draw 29%, NEC 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NEC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.