Hearts 1-1 Aberdeen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 1 Dec 2024

Hearts
1-1 HT 0-1
Aberdeen
📅01/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2024/2025

Hearts vs Aberdeen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.95
Over 2.5
56%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.64
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.37
6+ Goals
12%
12.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.51
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.6
X/1
15%
4.4
X/2
8%
8.19
X/X
12%
5.0
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.85
2/2
16%
6.0
2/X
6%
14.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.85 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-7.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.6pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hearts v Aberdeen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hearts EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 28%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.67/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.74
+16% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
24.8 Crosses 19.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9

Hearts vs Aberdeen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hearts
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Aberdeen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.36 xG 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
306 Passes 254
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
28 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.10.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 3-2 HT 1-1 Hearts Hearts İKP
27.01.2024 Hearts Hearts 2-0 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
09.12.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 2-1 HT 0-1 Hearts Hearts İKP
16.09.2023 Hearts Hearts 2-0 HT 1-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
20.05.2023 Hearts Hearts 2-1 HT 1-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
18.03.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 3-0 HT 3-0 Hearts Hearts İKP

Hearts 1-1 Aberdeen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hearts
1-1
AWAY Aberdeen
1.15 xG 0.62
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 6
389 Passes 317
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 20
43 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Hearts vs Aberdeen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts and Aberdeen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hearts at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Hearts had 54% of the ball to Aberdeen's 46%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.15 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hearts and 1.50 for Aberdeen.

What was the final score of Hearts vs Aberdeen?

Hearts 1-1 Aberdeen in the Scotland - Premiership on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hearts vs Aberdeen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hearts 42%, draw 27%, Aberdeen 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hearts), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hearts) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İKP More Scotland - Premiership
1 Dec 2024
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