CD Castellon vs Malaga Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CD Castellon v Malaga — Team-Based Signals
CD Castellon vs Malaga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Malaga
İS3
3-0
HT 1-0
CD Castellon
İS2
0-1
HT 0-1
Malaga
İS2
3-1
HT 2-0
CD Castellon
İS2
2-3
HT 0-1
Malaga
İS2
CD Castellon 2-0 Malaga — Actual Match Statistics
CD Castellon saw off Malaga 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had CD Castellon as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, CD Castellon had 47% of the ball to Malaga's 53%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.26 to 0.45.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malaga led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CD Castellon and 1.83 for Malaga.
What was the final score of CD Castellon vs Malaga?
CD Castellon 2-0 Malaga in the Spain - 2nd Division on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CD Castellon vs Malaga?
Before kick-off our model rated a CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split CD Castellon 49%, draw 25%, Malaga 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Castellon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.