Malaga vs CD Castellon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Malaga v CD Castellon — Team-Based Signals
Malaga vs CD Castellon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Malaga
İS3
3-0
HT 1-0
CD Castellon
İS2
0-1
HT 0-1
Malaga
İS2
3-1
HT 2-0
CD Castellon
İS2
2-3
HT 0-1
Malaga
İS2
0-1
HT 0-0
Malaga
İS2
Malaga 0-1 CD Castellon — Actual Match Statistics
CD Castellon nicked a narrow win over Malaga 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; CD Castellon found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Malaga had 51% of the ball to CD Castellon's 49%, shots finished 8-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malaga had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Malaga and 0.83 for CD Castellon.
What was the final score of Malaga vs CD Castellon?
Malaga 0-1 CD Castellon in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Malaga vs CD Castellon?
Before kick-off our model rated an CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Malaga 33%, draw 28%, CD Castellon 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Castellon) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.