Ceuta 0-0 San Fernando — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.73
2-3 Goals
44%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.96
6+ Goals
7%
18.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-2.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+0.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceuta EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY San Fernando EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -1%
1.15/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.46
-29% / +102% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
379 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 192 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceuta
1W-1D-1L
AWAY San Fernando
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2023 San Fernando San Fernando 0-1 HT 0-0 Ceuta Ceuta İS3
19.03.2023 Ceuta Ceuta 2-2 HT 0-2 San Fernando San Fernando İS3
27.08.2022 San Fernando San Fernando 1-0 HT 1-0 Ceuta Ceuta İS3
POST-MATCH Ceuta vs San Fernando
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceuta and San Fernando fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Ceuta at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ceuta and 1.00 for San Fernando.

What was the final score of Ceuta vs San Fernando?

Ceuta 0-0 San Fernando in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceuta vs San Fernando?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceuta win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ceuta 51%, draw 28%, San Fernando 22%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ceuta) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ceuta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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