Real Union 1-2 Arenteiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.57
6+ Goals
11%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.5pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Union EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Arenteiro EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.57/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.51
+69% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Union
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Arenteiro
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
16.09.2023 Arenteiro Arenteiro 2-3 HT 1-2 Real Union Real Union İS3
19.10.2022 Arenteiro Arenteiro 2-0 HT 2-0 Real Union Real Union İSPFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Union
1-2
AWAY Arenteiro
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Union vs Arenteiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arenteiro nicked a narrow win over Real Union 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Real Union at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Union had 61% of the ball to Arenteiro's 39%, shots finished 17-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Real Union and 2.00 for Arenteiro.

What was the final score of Real Union vs Arenteiro?

Real Union 1-2 Arenteiro in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Union vs Arenteiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Union win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Real Union 44%, draw 28%, Arenteiro 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Union) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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