Algeciras 1-0 Melilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.01
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
5.9
6+ Goals
8%
42.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.6pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.0pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Algeciras EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Melilla EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.40/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.26
+3% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
254 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Algeciras
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Melilla
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 Melilla Melilla 1-2 HT 0-1 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Algeciras
1-0
AWAY Melilla
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Algeciras vs Melilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Algeciras edged past Melilla 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Algeciras as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Algeciras had 43% of the ball to Melilla's 57%, shots finished 6-6.

What was the final score of Algeciras vs Melilla?

Algeciras 1-0 Melilla in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Algeciras vs Melilla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Algeciras win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Algeciras 44%, draw 29%, Melilla 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Algeciras), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Algeciras) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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