Gimnastic Tarragona 2-0 Lugo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.44
No
57%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
1.97
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
6.12
6+ Goals
7%
46.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
37%
+5.7pp
57%
BTTS No
63%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugo EU Bookmakers 23%
+14% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.31/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/0.80
+13% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +85%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.0 Crosses 16.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Lugo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.03 xG 0.65
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
255 Passes 353
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2023 Lugo Lugo 0-1 HT 0-1 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
09.06.2019 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 1-1 HT 0-0 Lugo Lugo İS2
21.10.2018 Lugo Lugo 1-0 HT 1-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS2
01.04.2018 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 3-0 HT 1-0 Lugo Lugo İS2
28.10.2017 Lugo Lugo 1-0 HT 1-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS2
05.09.2017 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 1-1 HT 1-1 Lugo Lugo İSPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona
2-0
AWAY Lugo
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gimnastic Tarragona vs Lugo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnastic Tarragona beat Lugo 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gimnastic Tarragona as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Gimnastic Tarragona had 45% of the ball to Lugo's 55%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gimnastic Tarragona and 0.67 for Lugo.

What was the final score of Gimnastic Tarragona vs Lugo?

Gimnastic Tarragona 2-0 Lugo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnastic Tarragona vs Lugo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnastic Tarragona win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gimnastic Tarragona 46%, draw 28%, Lugo 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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