Real Murcia 2-0 Atletico Baleares — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.08
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
5.59
6+ Goals
9%
38.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.3pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Baleares EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
1.11/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.09
-19% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Murcia
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Atletico Baleares
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
08.10.2023 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
16.04.2023 Real Murcia Real Murcia 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares İS3
18.12.2022 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares 0-3 HT 0-1 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Murcia
2-0
AWAY Atletico Baleares
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Murcia vs Atletico Baleares
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Murcia saw off Atletico Baleares 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Murcia as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Real Murcia had 51% of the ball to Atletico Baleares's 49%, shots finished 17-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Real Murcia had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Murcia and 0.33 for Atletico Baleares.

What was the final score of Real Murcia vs Atletico Baleares?

Real Murcia 2-0 Atletico Baleares in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Murcia vs Atletico Baleares?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Real Murcia 44%, draw 29%, Atletico Baleares 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Murcia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Murcia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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