Sabadell 2-1 Celta Vigo II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.44
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.48
6+ Goals
8%
24.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+4.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-3.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sabadell EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Celta Vigo II EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.24/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.00
+16% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
234 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sabadell
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Celta Vigo II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
31% Ball Possession 69%
7 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
28.10.2023 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II 4-2 HT 2-1 Sabadell Sabadell İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sabadell
2-1
AWAY Celta Vigo II
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 1
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sabadell vs Celta Vigo II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabadell squeezed past Celta Vigo II 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Sabadell made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Sabadell had 48% of the ball to Celta Vigo II's 52%, shots finished 13-10.

What was the final score of Sabadell vs Celta Vigo II?

Sabadell 2-1 Celta Vigo II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sabadell vs Celta Vigo II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celta Vigo II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sabadell 33%, draw 27%, Celta Vigo II 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Celta Vigo II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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