Salernitana 4-1 Carrarese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.49
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
4.89
6+ Goals
9%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.37
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.55
X/1
15%
5.02
X/2
7%
7.72
X/X
14%
4.21
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
10%
6.23
2/X
7%
16.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+2.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salernitana EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrarese EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.16/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.66
-2% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
19.7 Crosses 19.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salernitana
4-1
AWAY Carrarese
3.16 xG 1.81
44% Ball Possession 56%
20 Total Shots 15
10 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
272 Passes 372
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Salernitana vs Carrarese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salernitana ran out comfortable winners over Carrarese 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Salernitana as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Salernitana had 44% of the ball to Carrarese's 56%, shots finished 20-15, expected goals 3.16 to 1.81.

What was the final score of Salernitana vs Carrarese?

Salernitana 4-1 Carrarese in the Italy - Serie B on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salernitana vs Carrarese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salernitana win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Salernitana 47%, draw 28%, Carrarese 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salernitana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salernitana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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