Palermo 2-0 Spezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 1 Dec 2024

Palermo
2-0 HT 1-0
Spezia
📅01/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Palermo vs Spezia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.72
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
4.42
6+ Goals
9%
22.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 36% vs market 31.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.62
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.2
X/1
10%
5.54
X/2
11%
7.43
X/X
15%
4.22
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
11%
5.55
2/X
7%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.4pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.5pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.3pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Palermo v Spezia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palermo EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Spezia EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +16%
1.40/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.16
+7% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
326 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
22.5 Crosses 19.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8

Palermo vs Spezia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palermo
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Spezia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.11 xG 1.12
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
348 Passes 291
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.05.2024 Spezia Spezia 1-0 HT 1-0 Palermo Palermo İTB
23.10.2023 Palermo Palermo 2-2 HT 0-1 Spezia Spezia İTB
01.05.2019 Palermo Palermo 2-2 HT 2-2 Spezia Spezia İTB
23.12.2018 Spezia Spezia 1-1 HT 1-1 Palermo Palermo İTB
20.01.2018 Spezia Spezia 0-0 HT 0-0 Palermo Palermo İTB
26.08.2017 Palermo Palermo 2-0 HT 1-0 Spezia Spezia İTB

Palermo 2-0 Spezia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palermo
2-0
AWAY Spezia
2.66 xG 1.08
42% Ball Possession 58%
19 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
186 Passes 294
67% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Palermo vs Spezia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palermo got the better of Spezia 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Palermo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Palermo had 42% of the ball to Spezia's 58%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 2.66 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Palermo and 1.00 for Spezia.

What was the final score of Palermo vs Spezia?

Palermo 2-0 Spezia in the Italy - Serie B on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palermo vs Spezia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Palermo 42%, draw 29%, Spezia 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palermo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Palermo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTB More Italy - Serie B
1 Dec 2024
17:00 Frosinone vs Cesena Analysis →
17:00 Pisa vs Cosenza Calcio Analysis →
19:15 Salernitana vs Carrarese Analysis →