Orlando City 0-1 New York Red Bulls — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.2
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.76
6+ Goals
9%
15.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.78
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.55
X/1
18%
4.75
X/2
9%
9.11
X/X
13%
5.14
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
10%
6.98
2/X
7%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando City EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 27%
-7% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +12%
1.57/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.53
-11% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
389 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 80%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
21.2 Crosses 15.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando City
4W-1D-1L
AWAY New York Red Bulls
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.18 xG 1.23
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
384 Passes 257
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.06.2024 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 1-0 HT 1-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
31.03.2024 Orlando City Orlando City 1-1 HT 0-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
04.06.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 0-3 HT 0-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
26.02.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 1-0 HT 0-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
14.08.2022 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 0-1 HT 0-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
28.07.2022 Orlando City Orlando City 5-1 HT 1-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando City
0-1
AWAY New York Red Bulls
0.94 xG 0.80
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
364 Passes 216
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 9
29 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Orlando City vs New York Red Bulls
Match summary & frequently asked questions

New York Red Bulls edged past Orlando City 1-0 away from home in the USA - Major League on 1 Dec 2024. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Orlando City had 60% of the ball to New York Red Bulls's 40%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.94 to 0.80.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando City have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Orlando City and 0.50 for New York Red Bulls.

What was the final score of Orlando City vs New York Red Bulls?

Orlando City 0-1 New York Red Bulls in the USA - Major League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando City vs New York Red Bulls?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Orlando City 46%, draw 27%, New York Red Bulls 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Orlando City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orlando City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
1 Dec 2024
06:00 Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders Analysis →