Orlando City vs New York Red Bulls Prediction — Model Probabilities
Orlando City v New York Red Bulls — Team-Based Signals
Orlando City vs New York Red Bulls Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Orlando City 0-1 New York Red Bulls — Actual Match Statistics
New York Red Bulls edged past Orlando City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We leaned Orlando City at 51% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both.
The match data tells the story: Orlando City had 60% of the ball to New York Red Bulls's 40%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.94 to 0.80.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Orlando City and 0.50 for New York Red Bulls.
Orlando City vs New York Red Bulls Result & Final Score
Orlando City 0 - 1 New York Red Bulls in the USA - Major League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Orlando City vs New York Red Bulls Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Orlando City 51%, draw 27%, New York Red Bulls 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Orlando City), BTTS Yes went the other way.