Los Angeles Galaxy 1-0 Seattle Sounders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.86
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.24
6+ Goals
12%
11.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.8
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.2
X/1
11%
4.98
X/2
9%
8.76
X/X
15%
5.73
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
26.5
2/2
13%
6.2
2/X
7%
15.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.7pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
2.01/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.33
+28% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
17.9 Crosses 18.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Seattle Sounders
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.28 xG 1.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
404 Passes 354
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 33
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2024 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 3-1 HT 3-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy CONLK
06.05.2024 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 0-0 HT 0-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
31.03.2024 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 1-0 HT 1-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
05.10.2023 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 2-1 HT 1-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
11.05.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 3-1 HT 1-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABDK
02.04.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 1-2 HT 0-2 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy
1-0
AWAY Seattle Sounders
0.84 xG 0.40
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
504 Passes 408
91% Pass Accuracy 89%
18 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles Galaxy nicked a narrow win over Seattle Sounders 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Los Angeles Galaxy as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Los Angeles Galaxy had 54% of the ball to Seattle Sounders's 46%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.84 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Seattle Sounders led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Los Angeles Galaxy and 1.33 for Seattle Sounders.

What was the final score of Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders?

Los Angeles Galaxy 1-0 Seattle Sounders in the USA - Major League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders?

Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles Galaxy 45%, draw 28%, Seattle Sounders 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Los Angeles Galaxy) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Los Angeles Galaxy) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
1 Dec 2024
03:30 Orlando City vs New York Red Bulls Analysis →