Osnabrück 1-1 Alemannia Aachen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.33
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.5
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.48
6+ Goals
10%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 25% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.49
1/2
8%
30.0
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
17%
5.38
X/2
10%
5.93
X/X
7%
4.73
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
13%
4.01
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
39%
+7.3pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.2pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.7pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Alemannia Aachen EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
1.41/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/2.98
-9% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -76% / -54%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
29.0 Crosses 17.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osnabrück
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Alemannia Aachen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
24.11.2012 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 0-1 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
19.03.2011 Osnabrück Osnabrück 1-3 HT 0-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2
31.10.2010 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 2-1 HT 1-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL2
08.05.2009 Osnabrück Osnabrück 2-1 HT 1-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2
21.11.2008 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 3-1 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL2
06.04.2008 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 3-0 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osnabrück
1-1
AWAY Alemannia Aachen
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
246 Passes 169
67% Pass Accuracy 58%
23 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Osnabrück vs Alemannia Aachen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osnabrück and Alemannia Aachen shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Osnabrück at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Osnabrück had 55% of the ball to Alemannia Aachen's 45%, shots finished 15-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alemannia Aachen led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Osnabrück and 2.00 for Alemannia Aachen.

What was the final score of Osnabrück vs Alemannia Aachen?

Osnabrück 1-1 Alemannia Aachen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osnabrück vs Alemannia Aachen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osnabrück win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Osnabrück 47%, draw 22%, Alemannia Aachen 32%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Osnabrück) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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