Wehen Wiesbaden 3-1 Viktoria Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.91
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.91 — our 26% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.91
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
16%
4.87
X/2
9%
6.86
X/X
12%
5.13
2/1
7%
24.3
2/2
15%
4.69
2/X
9%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.3pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Köln EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -15%
0.67/3.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.90
-16% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 77%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
18.3 Crosses 12.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Viktoria Köln
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.02.2023 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 1-1 HT 0-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
06.08.2022 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 1-0 HT 0-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
12.03.2022 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 2-1 HT 0-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
02.10.2021 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 1-1 HT 1-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
26.01.2021 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 2-2 HT 0-1 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
26.09.2020 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 0-2 HT 0-1 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden
3-1
AWAY Viktoria Köln
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
324 Passes 464
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wehen Wiesbaden vs Viktoria Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wehen Wiesbaden beat Viktoria Köln 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 30% — and on the day Wehen Wiesbaden made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Wehen Wiesbaden had 43% of the ball to Viktoria Köln's 57%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Köln led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Wehen Wiesbaden and 1.17 for Viktoria Köln.

What was the final score of Wehen Wiesbaden vs Viktoria Köln?

Wehen Wiesbaden 3-1 Viktoria Köln in the Germany - 3rd Division on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wehen Wiesbaden vs Viktoria Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wehen Wiesbaden win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Wehen Wiesbaden 40%, draw 29%, Viktoria Köln 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wehen Wiesbaden), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wehen Wiesbaden) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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