Saarbrücken 1-0 Rot-Weiss Essen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 1 Dec 2024

Saarbrücken
1-0 HT 1-0
Rot-Weiss Essen
📅01/12/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Saarbrücken vs Rot-Weiss Essen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
20%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
4.09
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
3.13
6+ Goals
11%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.09 — our 28% vs market 19.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.48
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.9
X/1
18%
4.42
X/2
6%
8.07
X/X
17%
5.46
2/1
6%
22.55
2/2
9%
5.7
2/X
4%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-0.7pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.6pp
20%
Away Win
25%
-5.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.9pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Saarbrücken v Rot-Weiss Essen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -10%
1.80/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.54
+4% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
423 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.0 Crosses 24.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Saarbrücken vs Rot-Weiss Essen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saarbrücken
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.04.2024 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 1-1 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
22.10.2023 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 2-1 HT 2-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
18.03.2023 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 3-0 HT 2-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
19.09.2022 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-0 HT 1-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
08.04.2005 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 0-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL2
31.10.2004 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 2-0 HT 1-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL2

Saarbrücken 1-0 Rot-Weiss Essen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saarbrücken
1-0
AWAY Rot-Weiss Essen
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
357 Passes 354
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Saarbrücken vs Rot-Weiss Essen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saarbrücken nicked a narrow win over Rot-Weiss Essen 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Saarbrücken as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Saarbrücken had 51% of the ball to Rot-Weiss Essen's 49%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Essen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Saarbrücken and 1.00 for Rot-Weiss Essen.

What was the final score of Saarbrücken vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Saarbrücken 1-0 Rot-Weiss Essen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saarbrücken vs Rot-Weiss Essen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saarbrücken win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Saarbrücken 50%, draw 30%, Rot-Weiss Essen 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saarbrücken), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Saarbrücken) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL3 More Germany - 3rd Division
1 Dec 2024
15:30 Osnabrück vs Alemannia Aachen Analysis →
21:30 Wehen Wiesbaden vs Viktoria Köln Analysis →