Aurora 7-1 Santa Cruz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 1 Dec 2024

Aurora
7-1 HT 5-0
Santa Cruz
📅01/12/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme – 2024

Aurora vs Santa Cruz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.29
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
20%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
73%
-16.3pp
23%
Draw
17%
+6.0pp
20%
Away Win
10%
+10.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.4pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aurora v Santa Cruz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aurora EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Cruz EU Bookmakers 12%
-12% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +8%
1.65/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.72
-7% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
355 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 73%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.3
24.1 Crosses 10.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0

Aurora vs Santa Cruz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aurora
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Santa Cruz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.44 xG 1.21
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
286 Passes 186
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.08.2024 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 2-2 HT 2-1 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
04.10.2023 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 1-1 HT 0-1 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
17.04.2023 Aurora Aurora 1-1 HT 0-0 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
14.10.2022 Aurora Aurora 1-2 HT 1-1 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
12.05.2022 Aurora Aurora 2-4 HT 1-2 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz BOLİ
06.03.2022 Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 2-2 HT 1-1 Aurora Aurora BOLİ

Aurora 7-1 Santa Cruz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aurora
7-1
AWAY Santa Cruz
3.91 xG 0.82
50% Ball Possession 50%
26 Total Shots 8
13 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 5
287 Passes 289
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
42 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Aurora vs Santa Cruz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aurora ran out comfortable winners over Santa Cruz 7-1. Half-time: 5-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aurora as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aurora had 50% of the ball to Santa Cruz's 50%, shots finished 26-8, expected goals 3.91 to 0.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Cruz led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aurora and 2.00 for Santa Cruz.

What was the final score of Aurora vs Santa Cruz?

Aurora 7-1 Santa Cruz in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aurora vs Santa Cruz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Aurora 57%, draw 23%, Santa Cruz 20%. The final score 7-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aurora) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aurora) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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