Barcelona SC 2-2 Mushuc Runa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-9.3pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.7pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.6pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Mushuc Runa EU Bookmakers 20%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.58/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.76
+8% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -15%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 72%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
18.3 Crosses 17.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona SC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Mushuc Runa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.10 xG 1.22
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
295 Passes 197
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
03.06.2024 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 1-0 HT 0-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
27.08.2023 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 2-2 HT 0-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
02.04.2023 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-0 HT 0-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
08.08.2022 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 4-1 HT 2-1 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
20.03.2022 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa 1-1 HT 1-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
04.10.2021 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 4-0 HT 2-0 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona SC
2-2
AWAY Mushuc Runa
1.12 xG 0.52
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
320 Passes 134
80% Pass Accuracy 65%
25 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Barcelona SC vs Mushuc Runa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona SC and Mushuc Runa shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Barcelona SC at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Barcelona SC had 66% of the ball to Mushuc Runa's 34%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.12 to 0.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona SC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Barcelona SC and 0.83 for Mushuc Runa.

What was the final score of Barcelona SC vs Mushuc Runa?

Barcelona SC 2-2 Mushuc Runa in the Ecuador - Premier on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona SC vs Mushuc Runa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona SC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Barcelona SC 54%, draw 27%, Mushuc Runa 19%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Barcelona SC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barcelona SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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