Orense 0-0 Independiente Del Valle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
41%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
25%
+9.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
41%
Away Win
48%
-6.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.8pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orense EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 52%
+25% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -8%
1.37/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.00
+48% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +8%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
225 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
16.7 Crosses 16.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orense
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.03 xG 1.65
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
198 Passes 398
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.06.2024 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
26.11.2023 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 2-2 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
12.06.2023 Orense Orense 0-2 HT 0-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
06.08.2022 Orense Orense 1-2 HT 0-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
19.03.2022 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-1 HT 1-1 Orense Orense EKV1
25.07.2021 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 3-2 HT 2-1 Orense Orense EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orense
0-0
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
0.35 xG 1.19
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
169 Passes 391
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
6 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Orense vs Independiente Del Valle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orense and Independiente Del Valle fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Independiente Del Valle at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Orense had 34% of the ball to Independiente Del Valle's 66%, shots finished 5-18, expected goals 0.35 to 1.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Orense and 1.83 for Independiente Del Valle.

What was the final score of Orense vs Independiente Del Valle?

Orense 0-0 Independiente Del Valle in the Ecuador - Premier on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orense vs Independiente Del Valle?

Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Orense 34%, draw 24%, Independiente Del Valle 41%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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