Blackpool 1-2 Birmingham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.57
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
27%
3.24
6+ Goals
10%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+3.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackpool EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham EU Bookmakers 48%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
0.22/0.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-84% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +36%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
282 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blackpool
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Birmingham
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.58 xG 1.42
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
272 Passes 205
70% Pass Accuracy 64%
21 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.04.2023 Birmingham Birmingham 0-1 HT 0-0 Blackpool Blackpool İNCL
10.12.2022 Blackpool Blackpool 0-0 HT 0-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
18.04.2022 Blackpool Blackpool 6-1 HT 3-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
27.11.2021 Birmingham Birmingham 1-0 HT 0-0 Blackpool Blackpool İNCL
04.03.2015 Birmingham Birmingham 1-0 HT 1-0 Blackpool Blackpool İNCL
06.12.2014 Blackpool Blackpool 1-0 HT 0-0 Birmingham Birmingham İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blackpool
1-2
AWAY Birmingham
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
0 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Blackpool vs Birmingham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham squeezed past Blackpool 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Birmingham as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Blackpool had 42% of the ball to Birmingham's 58%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackpool had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Blackpool and 0.50 for Birmingham.

What was the final score of Blackpool vs Birmingham?

Blackpool 1-2 Birmingham in the England - FA Cup on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackpool vs Birmingham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Birmingham win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Blackpool 35%, draw 24%, Birmingham 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birmingham), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Birmingham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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