Burton Albion 1-1 Tamworth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
28%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.83
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.09
6+ Goals
11%
10.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.83 — our 28% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
59%
-12.6pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.5pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burton Albion EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Tamworth EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.55/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.37/2.74
-28% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% / -32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burton Albion
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Tamworth
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
20.02.2007 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-0 HT 0-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
26.12.2006 Tamworth Tamworth 0-1 HT 0-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İBSL
02.01.2006 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-1 HT 0-1 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
26.12.2005 Tamworth Tamworth 1-1 HT 1-1 Burton Albion Burton Albion İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burton Albion
1-1
AWAY Tamworth
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
0 Passes 0
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Burton Albion vs Tamworth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burton Albion and Tamworth shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Burton Albion at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Burton Albion had 57% of the ball to Tamworth's 43%, shots finished 17-15.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Burton Albion had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Burton Albion and 0.50 for Tamworth.

What was the final score of Burton Albion vs Tamworth?

Burton Albion 1-1 Tamworth in the England - FA Cup on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burton Albion vs Tamworth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burton Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Burton Albion 47%, draw 25%, Tamworth 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Burton Albion) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burton Albion) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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