Reading 5-3 Harborough Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.25
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
21%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.63
Over 2.5
58%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.9
No
44%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.06
2-3 Goals
39%
2.06
4-5 Goals
30%
2.51
6+ Goals
12%
5.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
76%
-16.9pp
20%
Draw
16%
+4.1pp
21%
Away Win
8%
+12.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
34%
+7.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
66%
-7.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.6pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reading EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Harborough Town EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
2.84/0.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.00
+18% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +91% / +134%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
497 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reading
5-3
AWAY Harborough Town
64% Ball Possession 36%
22 Total Shots 12
13 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 7
0 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Reading vs Harborough Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reading beat Harborough Town 5-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Reading as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Reading had 64% of the ball to Harborough Town's 36%, shots finished 22-12.

What was the final score of Reading vs Harborough Town?

Reading 5-3 Harborough Town in the England - FA Cup on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reading vs Harborough Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Reading win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Reading 59%, draw 20%, Harborough Town 21%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Reading), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Reading) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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