Odisha FC 4-2 Bengaluru — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
26%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.62
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.21
6+ Goals
12%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 28% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.0pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.4pp
26%
Away Win
34%
-7.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.3pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Odisha FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bengaluru EU Bookmakers 37%
+25% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.12/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.24
+10% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
251 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 78%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
14.2 Crosses 17.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Odisha FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Bengaluru
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.04 xG 0.97
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
314 Passes 220
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
17 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Bengaluru Bengaluru 0-0 HT 0-0 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
12.01.2024 Odisha FC Odisha FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Bengaluru Bengaluru HINSK
31.10.2023 Odisha FC Odisha FC 3-2 HT 2-2 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
25.04.2023 Bengaluru Bengaluru 1-2 HT 0-2 Odisha FC Odisha FC HINSK
14.01.2023 Bengaluru Bengaluru 3-1 HT 2-0 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
27.10.2022 Odisha FC Odisha FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Odisha FC
4-2
AWAY Bengaluru
1.67 xG 0.63
37% Ball Possession 63%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
257 Passes 462
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 33
POST-MATCH Odisha FC vs Bengaluru
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Odisha FC got the better of Bengaluru 4-2. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Odisha FC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Odisha FC had 37% of the ball to Bengaluru's 63%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.67 to 0.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Odisha FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Odisha FC and 1.00 for Bengaluru.

What was the final score of Odisha FC vs Bengaluru?

Odisha FC 4-2 Bengaluru in the India - Super League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Odisha FC vs Bengaluru?

Before kick-off our model rated a Odisha FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Odisha FC 46%, draw 28%, Bengaluru 26%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Odisha FC), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Odisha FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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