Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-2 Istra 1961 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.75
Over 2.5
39%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.91
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.84
6+ Goals
8%
17.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 30% vs market 28.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
53%
+7.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
47%
-7.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.2pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.43/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.10
+26% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
271 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 76%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
20.5 Crosses 15.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Istra 1961
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.18 xG 1.02
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
283 Passes 313
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
29.03.2024 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
16.12.2023 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-0 HT 1-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
02.10.2023 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-4 HT 0-2 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
23.07.2023 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 HT 0-1 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
21.05.2023 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 3-1 HT 2-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
1-2
AWAY Istra 1961
1.07 xG 1.18
63% Ball Possession 37%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
325 Passes 146
72% Pass Accuracy 55%
27 Box Touches 25
27 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Istra 1961 edged past Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Lokomotiva Zagreb at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lokomotiva Zagreb had 63% of the ball to Istra 1961's 37%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.07 to 1.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiva Zagreb had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Lokomotiva Zagreb and 0.33 for Istra 1961.

What was the final score of Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961?

Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-2 Istra 1961 in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Istra 1961?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiva Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiva Zagreb 43%, draw 29%, Istra 1961 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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