Hajduk Split 1-0 Dinamo Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.56
Over 2.5
48%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.36
2-3 Goals
35%
1.75
4-5 Goals
25%
4.86
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
13%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-5.4pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.4pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.7pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 33%
-23% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.50/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.21
+20% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
23.6 Crosses 12.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hajduk Split
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.79 xG 0.90
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
238 Passes 397
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0-1 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
03.04.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 0-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIRK
30.03.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 0-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
17.12.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0-0 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
01.10.2023 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
21.07.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1-2 HT 1-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hajduk Split
1-0
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
0.53 xG 0.18
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
192 Passes 284
69% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 11
9 Crosses 18
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hajduk Split nicked a narrow win over Dinamo Zagreb 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 33% / 32%) promised a tight game; Hajduk Split found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hajduk Split had 42% of the ball to Dinamo Zagreb's 58%, shots finished 8-6, expected goals 0.53 to 0.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hajduk Split had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hajduk Split and 0.50 for Dinamo Zagreb.

What was the final score of Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Hajduk Split 1-0 Dinamo Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Hajduk Split 35%, draw 33%, Dinamo Zagreb 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hajduk Split), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hajduk Split) ✓ Under 2.5
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