Hajduk Split 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.55
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.64
6+ Goals
7%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
25%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+2.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 48%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.69
-100% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +54%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
270 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hajduk Split
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.79 xG 0.98
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
264 Passes 392
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 0-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
17.12.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0-0 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
01.10.2023 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
21.07.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1-2 HT 1-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
15.07.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HISK
30.04.2023 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 0-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hajduk Split
0-1
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb nicked a narrow win over Hajduk Split 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dinamo Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Hajduk Split had 55% of the ball to Dinamo Zagreb's 45%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hajduk Split and 0.50 for Dinamo Zagreb.

What was the final score of Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Hajduk Split 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb in the Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hajduk Split 30%, draw 28%, Dinamo Zagreb 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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