Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-1 Rijeka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
50%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.1
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.78
6+ Goals
11%
16.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
27%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
50%
Away Win
46%
+4.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijeka EU Bookmakers 49%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -66% / -66%
1.00/0.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/3.00
-15% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -65%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
259 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Rijeka
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.90 xG 1.36
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
304 Passes 273
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 4-0 HT 2-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
03.11.2023 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-1 HT 1-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
20.08.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 2-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
27.04.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 2-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
18.02.2023 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-2 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
16.10.2022 Rijeka Rijeka 3-0 HT 2-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
0-1
AWAY Rijeka
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Rijeka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijeka squeezed past Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rijeka as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Lokomotiva Zagreb had 53% of the ball to Rijeka's 47%, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lokomotiva Zagreb and 2.33 for Rijeka.

What was the final score of Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Rijeka?

Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-1 Rijeka in the Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Rijeka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiva Zagreb 25%, draw 25%, Rijeka 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijeka) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rijeka)
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