Dinamo Zagreb 0-1 Hajduk Split — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
2.97
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.94
6+ Goals
10%
17.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 28% vs market 27.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
60%
-11.2pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.5pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.5pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 20%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
1.57/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.08
+14% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
437 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 79%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
21.5 Crosses 13.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hajduk Split
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.07 xG 0.81
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
395 Passes 255
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.04.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 0-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIRK
30.03.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 0-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
17.12.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0-0 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
01.10.2023 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
21.07.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1-2 HT 1-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
15.07.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HISK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
0-1
AWAY Hajduk Split
1.12 xG 0.92
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
493 Passes 238
89% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Dinamo Zagreb vs Hajduk Split
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hajduk Split nicked a narrow win over Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Dinamo Zagreb at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dinamo Zagreb had 64% of the ball to Hajduk Split's 36%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.12 to 0.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Dinamo Zagreb and 0.50 for Hajduk Split.

What was the final score of Dinamo Zagreb vs Hajduk Split?

Dinamo Zagreb 0-1 Hajduk Split in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Zagreb vs Hajduk Split?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Zagreb 48%, draw 29%, Hajduk Split 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✓ Under 2.5
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