Den Bosch 2-3 Dordrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.43
Over 2.5
53%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.43
No
47%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
5.39
2-3 Goals
34%
2.0
4-5 Goals
25%
2.72
6+ Goals
14%
6.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.0
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
8%
11.9
X/1
14%
5.53
X/2
10%
6.97
X/X
12%
5.54
2/1
6%
23.0
2/2
17%
4.16
2/X
6%
12.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-2.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
66%
-12.6pp
47%
BTTS No
34%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +15%
1.37/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.72
+6% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
17.5 Crosses 17.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Den Bosch
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dordrecht
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.17 xG 1.40
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
272 Passes 314
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2024 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-3 HT 0-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
27.10.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 5-1 HT 3-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
17.03.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 3-1 HT 2-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
09.09.2022 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-1 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
08.04.2022 Den Bosch Den Bosch 3-0 HT 0-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
22.10.2021 Dordrecht Dordrecht 3-3 HT 0-3 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Den Bosch
2-3
AWAY Dordrecht
0.98 xG 2.09
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
253 Passes 385
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 40
21 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Den Bosch vs Dordrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dordrecht squeezed past Den Bosch 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Den Bosch at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Den Bosch had 42% of the ball to Dordrecht's 58%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.98 to 2.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dordrecht led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Den Bosch and 2.33 for Dordrecht.

What was the final score of Den Bosch vs Dordrecht?

Den Bosch 2-3 Dordrecht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Den Bosch vs Dordrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Den Bosch win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Den Bosch 41%, draw 26%, Dordrecht 34%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Den Bosch) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Den Bosch) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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