Den Bosch 0-3 Dordrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
44%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
23%
2.84
6+ Goals
11%
7.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.98
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
21.85
1/X
5%
12.95
X/1
11%
7.65
X/2
13%
4.78
X/X
11%
5.49
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
21%
2.59
2/X
8%
12.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.85 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+3.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-2.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.6pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 51%
-4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -15%
1.04/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.97
-28% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -37%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
284 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 78%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.9 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Den Bosch
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dordrecht
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.63 xG 1.39
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
304 Passes 302
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 5-1 HT 3-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
17.03.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 3-1 HT 2-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
09.09.2022 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-1 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
08.04.2022 Den Bosch Den Bosch 3-0 HT 0-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
22.10.2021 Dordrecht Dordrecht 3-3 HT 0-3 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
16.04.2021 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-6 HT 0-3 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Den Bosch
0-3
AWAY Dordrecht
0.63 xG 0.71
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 9
226 Passes 294
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Den Bosch vs Dordrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dordrecht swept aside Den Bosch 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dordrecht as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Den Bosch had 45% of the ball to Dordrecht's 55%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.63 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Den Bosch had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Den Bosch and 2.17 for Dordrecht.

What was the final score of Den Bosch vs Dordrecht?

Den Bosch 0-3 Dordrecht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Den Bosch vs Dordrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dordrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Den Bosch 32%, draw 24%, Dordrecht 44%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dordrecht), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dordrecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL2 More Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
29 Mar 2024
22:00 NAC Breda vs MVV Maastricht Analysis →
22:00 Telstar vs Utrecht II Analysis →
22:00 VVV-Venlo vs FC Oss Analysis →
22:00 Helmond Sport vs Willem II Analysis →
22:00 Emmen vs Ajax II Analysis →
22:00 FC Eindhoven vs Cambuur Analysis →