Chrobry Glogow 1-0 Pogon Siedlce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.24
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.5
6+ Goals
11%
13.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-2.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.0pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chrobry Glogow EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Siedlce EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.56/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.98
+8% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chrobry Glogow
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Pogon Siedlce
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.07.2024 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 1-2 HT 0-2 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
20.10.2022 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 3-1 HT 2-0 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POLK
30.10.2018 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 1-2 HT 0-2 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POLK
29.11.2015 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 1-0 HT 0-0 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
04.04.2015 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 0-2 HT 0-1 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chrobry Glogow
1-0
AWAY Pogon Siedlce
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Chrobry Glogow vs Pogon Siedlce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chrobry Glogow edged past Pogon Siedlce 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Chrobry Glogow made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Chrobry Glogow had 54% of the ball to Pogon Siedlce's 46%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chrobry Glogow had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Chrobry Glogow and 1.20 for Pogon Siedlce.

What was the final score of Chrobry Glogow vs Pogon Siedlce?

Chrobry Glogow 1-0 Pogon Siedlce in the Poland - 1st Division on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chrobry Glogow vs Pogon Siedlce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chrobry Glogow win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chrobry Glogow 39%, draw 27%, Pogon Siedlce 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chrobry Glogow) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chrobry Glogow) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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