Warta Poznan 0-1 Nieciecza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
49%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.15
6+ Goals
9%
20.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+4.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
49%
Away Win
50%
-1.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.0pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Nieciecza EU Bookmakers 55%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +17%
1.38/3.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.71
+29% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +41%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Warta Poznan
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Nieciecza
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.83 xG 0.96
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
236 Passes 320
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2024 Nieciecza Nieciecza 3-0 HT 0-0 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL1
05.03.2022 Nieciecza Nieciecza 1-0 HT 0-0 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL
11.09.2021 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 0-0 HT 0-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL
17.06.2020 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 1-3 HT 1-2 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
14.09.2019 Nieciecza Nieciecza 1-1 HT 0-0 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Warta Poznan
0-1
AWAY Nieciecza
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Warta Poznan vs Nieciecza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nieciecza squeezed past Warta Poznan 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nieciecza as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Warta Poznan had 42% of the ball to Nieciecza's 58%, shots finished 4-17.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Nieciecza led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Warta Poznan and 1.60 for Nieciecza.

What was the final score of Warta Poznan vs Nieciecza?

Warta Poznan 0-1 Nieciecza in the Poland - 1st Division on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warta Poznan vs Nieciecza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nieciecza win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Warta Poznan 27%, draw 24%, Nieciecza 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nieciecza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nieciecza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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