Nieciecza 3-0 Warta Poznan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 20 Jul 2024

Nieciecza
3-0 HT 0-0
Warta Poznan
📅20/07/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Poland - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Nieciecza vs Warta Poznan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.27
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.6
6+ Goals
11%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 27% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nieciecza v Warta Poznan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nieciecza EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.80/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.98
+23% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +46%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.3 Yellow Cards –

Nieciecza vs Warta Poznan Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nieciecza
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Warta Poznan
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.96 xG 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
320 Passes 236
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.03.2022 Nieciecza Nieciecza 1-0 HT 0-0 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL
11.09.2021 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 0-0 HT 0-0 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL
17.06.2020 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 1-3 HT 1-2 Nieciecza Nieciecza POL1
14.09.2019 Nieciecza Nieciecza 1-1 HT 0-0 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL1

Nieciecza 3-0 Warta Poznan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nieciecza
3-0
AWAY Warta Poznan
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Nieciecza vs Warta Poznan
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Nieciecza ran out comfortable winners over Warta Poznan 3-0 in the Poland - 1st Division on 20 Jul 2024. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Nieciecza had 58% of the ball to Warta Poznan's 42%, shots finished 15-11.

Across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nieciecza have the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Nieciecza and 0.50 for Warta Poznan.

What was the final score of Nieciecza vs Warta Poznan?

Nieciecza 3-0 Warta Poznan in the Poland - 1st Division on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nieciecza vs Warta Poznan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nieciecza win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Nieciecza 43%, draw 25%, Warta Poznan 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nieciecza), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nieciecza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL1 More Poland - 1st Division
20 Jul 2024
18:00 Pogon Siedlce vs Chrobry Glogow Analysis →
20:35 Stal Stalowa Wola vs Gornik Leczna Analysis →