Stal Stalowa Wola 0-1 Gornik Leczna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒20:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.59
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.54
6+ Goals
9%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+5.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Stalowa Wola EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Leczna EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +22%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +34%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
267 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stal Stalowa Wola
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Gornik Leczna
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
06.06.2020 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 1-2 HT 1-1 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola POL2
31.08.2019 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola 1-3 HT 1-0 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Stalowa Wola
0-1
AWAY Gornik Leczna
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stal Stalowa Wola vs Gornik Leczna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gornik Leczna squeezed past Stal Stalowa Wola 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Gornik Leczna found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Stal Stalowa Wola had 52% of the ball to Gornik Leczna's 48%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stal Stalowa Wola and 2.00 for Gornik Leczna.

What was the final score of Stal Stalowa Wola vs Gornik Leczna?

Stal Stalowa Wola 0-1 Gornik Leczna in the Poland - 1st Division on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Stalowa Wola vs Gornik Leczna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gornik Leczna win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Stal Stalowa Wola 36%, draw 27%, Gornik Leczna 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gornik Leczna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gornik Leczna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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