Sporting CP II 3-3 Uniao Santarem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao Santarem EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.44/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/1.00
+17% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / +26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Uniao Santarem
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
69% Ball Possession 31%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem 3-0 HT 2-0 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP II
3-3
AWAY Uniao Santarem
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sporting CP II vs Uniao Santarem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP II and Uniao Santarem shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting CP II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sporting CP II had 58% of the ball to Uniao Santarem's 42%, shots finished 13-8.

What was the final score of Sporting CP II vs Uniao Santarem?

Sporting CP II 3-3 Uniao Santarem in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP II vs Uniao Santarem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP II 43%, draw 26%, Uniao Santarem 31%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sporting CP II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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