Dezembro 3-0 Lusitania — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dezembro EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Lusitania EU Bookmakers 27%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.53/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.00
+18% / +114% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
281 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dezembro
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Lusitania
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.11.2024 Lusitania Lusitania 1-1 HT 0-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dezembro
3-0
AWAY Lusitania
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dezembro vs Lusitania
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dezembro ran out comfortable winners over Lusitania 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dezembro as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dezembro had 40% of the ball to Lusitania's 60%, shots finished 11-9.

What was the final score of Dezembro vs Lusitania?

Dezembro 3-0 Lusitania in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dezembro vs Lusitania?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dezembro win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Dezembro 48%, draw 27%, Lusitania 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dezembro), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dezembro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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