Amarante 2-0 Sao Joao Ver — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.1pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amarante EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 26%
-68% / -68% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.34
-100% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amarante
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sao Joao Ver
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.08.2024 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 0-3 HT 0-1 Amarante Amarante POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amarante
2-0
AWAY Sao Joao Ver
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Amarante vs Sao Joao Ver
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amarante saw off Sao Joao Ver 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Amarante as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Amarante had 37% of the ball to Sao Joao Ver's 63%, shots finished 11-12.

What was the final score of Amarante vs Sao Joao Ver?

Amarante 2-0 Sao Joao Ver in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amarante vs Sao Joao Ver?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amarante win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Amarante 46%, draw 27%, Sao Joao Ver 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amarante), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Amarante) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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