Kolos Kovalivka 1-1 Dynamo Kiev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.91
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
50%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.67
Over
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
46%
4-5
14%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
14%
+8.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
50%
Away Win
62%
-11.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.2pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kolos Kovalivka EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Dynamo Kiev EU Bookmakers 66%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.63/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.29/0.95
-36% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -9%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
248 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kolos Kovalivka
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Dynamo Kiev
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
05.05.2024 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 5-0 HT 0-0 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
28.10.2023 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 1-1 HT 0-1 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
24.05.2023 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 0-3 HT 0-1 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
13.11.2022 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 0-0 HT 0-0 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
28.08.2021 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 7-0 HT 6-0 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
09.05.2021 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 0-3 HT 0-1 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kolos Kovalivka
1-1
AWAY Dynamo Kiev
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kolos Kovalivka vs Dynamo Kiev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolos Kovalivka and Dynamo Kiev couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Dynamo Kiev at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Kolos Kovalivka had 44% of the ball to Dynamo Kiev's 56%, shots finished 5-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dynamo Kiev led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Kolos Kovalivka and 3.17 for Dynamo Kiev.

What was the final score of Kolos Kovalivka vs Dynamo Kiev?

Kolos Kovalivka 1-1 Dynamo Kiev in the Ukraine - Premier League on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kolos Kovalivka vs Dynamo Kiev?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dynamo Kiev win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Kolos Kovalivka 23%, draw 27%, Dynamo Kiev 50%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dynamo Kiev), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dynamo Kiev) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UKR More Ukraine - Premier League
1 Dec 2024
14:00 Oleksandria vs Chornomorets Odessa Analysis →
19:00 Shakhtar Donetsk vs Rukh Vynnyky Analysis →